American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. gold rush supreme second chance winners. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They consider how much. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". 266, the . BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . . If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. This is the first episode. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! In the main event, former light They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. So, the usual. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. 11:03 AM. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. All. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. Preview of Spotify. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." Find us at ThisDayPod.com. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. RSS Loading. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). Texas has been in a dire situation this week. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. I'm Galen Truk. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. Happy holidays! Edit your transcribed text. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years.
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